Saturday, April 30, 2011

Peru: Latest poll has Ollanta Humala 4.2% ahead

Here's the link, here's the chart:


And for those of you into details and subcharts and Spanish language commentary, there's tons of that on pages 3, 4 and 5 of today's edition of La Republica which you can access right here.

Pay No Attention to the Mess on My Craft Table Behind Me

I've had some time on my hands today.
My husband is watching Nascar.
I just found my webcam for the first time.
When left to my own devices I tend to either get myself in trouble or make a fool out of myself.
Both are entertaining for me.
If my boss ever discovers what a fool he was to hire me and lets me go, I'm thinking I might throw my hat into the acting/modeling ring.
Seriously, can it really be that hard?
Let's see.
Headache Girl
Snapshot_20110430_9
Sore Throat Girl
Snapshot_20110430_10
Deodorant Girl
Snapshot_20110430_11 - Copy
Constipation Girl
Snapshot_20110430_12
Bloated Girl
Snapshot_20110430_14
PMS Girl
Snapshot_20110430_18
Paranoid Girl
Snapshot_20110430_13
Now that I’ve started, I can’t stop.  The effects are fun to play with and are really quite flattering.
Snapshot_20110430_25
Holly
xxx-ooo

Ernesto Sabato, QEPD

Ernesto Sabato, novelist, physicist and one of the key defenders of Human Rights in Argentina, died today aged 99 years and 10 months. To know more about the great man, La Nacion has excellent coverage of his life and work today.

mahi gill hot nude without bra & cloths hot photshoot pics

mahi gill hot nude without bra & cloths hot photshoot pics


 

 

 

Sonam Kapoor hot Black Bra Thigh Show Magazine e-paper Scan

Sonam Kapoor Showing Black Bra and Thigh Show For Latest Magazine Scan

kareena kapor hot thigh show e-paper scan

kareena kapor hot thigh show e-paper scan

Bipasha Basu in Sexy Shorts exposing her Hot Thighs

Bengali Bollywood babe Bipasha Basu in Sexy Shorts exposing her Hot Thighs. Hot Bipasha Basu pic in shorts.

trisha hot black bra & shots super hot photoshoot pic

trisha hot black bra & shots super hot photoshoot pic

Veena Malik hot new navel show sexy photoshoot

Veena Malik hot new navel show sexy photoshoot
 

Tapasee Pannu Hot Thigh Show in Red Dress For Magazine

Tapasee Pannu Hot Thigh Show in Red Dress For Magazine

Friday, April 29, 2011

genelia d'souza hot thigh show in verve & cosmopolitan magazine

genelia d'souza hot thigh show in verve & cosmopolitan magazine
 

Kareena Kapoor Hot Thigh sexy figure hot Magazine Scan

Kareena Kapoor Hot Thigh sexy figure hot Magazine Scan

Aishwarya Rai Hot Bra Show PhotoShoot superhot pic

Aishwarya Rai Hot Bra Show PhotoShoot superhot pic

Deepika Padukone Navel & thigh ShowBlue Dress Magazine Scan hot pic

Deepika Padukone Navel & thigh ShowBlue Dress Magazine Scan hot pic

Deepika Padukone Gorgeous PhotoShoot cute pic

Deepika Padukone Gorgeous PhotoShoot cute pic

veena malik hot sexy navel show hot photshoot pic

veena malik hot sexy navel show hot photshoot pic

Gul Panag Hot thunder Thigh Show sexy photoshoot pic

Gul Panag Hot thunder Thigh Show sexy photoshoot pic

Gul Panag Hot Milky Thigh Show in sexy pose Magazine Scan

Gul Panag Hot Milky Thigh Show in sexy pose Magazine Scan

Priyanka Chopra Hot Thigh & Leg Show in Mini Dress hot Magazine Scan

Priyanka Chopra Hot Thigh & Leg Show in Mini Dress hot Magazine Scan

Mugdha Godse in Bikini Sexy Navel & Thigh Show superhot pic

Mugdha Godse in Bikini Sexy Navel & Thigh Show superhot pic

Shazahn Padamsee looking Cute Hot Tight Jeans & shirt

Shazahn Padamsee looking Cute Hot Tight Jeans & shirt
 

 

keynes vs hayek

This is great.


Watch it all. H/T Salmon

The Friday OT: Tammi Terrell & Marvin Gaye; Ain't no mountain high enough

Dedicated to my wife.


Have a good weekend.

IKN congratulates Casey Research on the superb job it does of keeping its readership up to date on changes in circumstances in its covered stocks

Truly top service, guys.
dyodd

Peru Prez Poll, Round Two

A new poll is out today Friday from pollster Datum and published by Peru 21. This might leave it open to accusations of bias (because Peru 21 is an anti-Humala newspaper), but along with a CPI poll from yesterday that had the gap at 3.8%, there's a clear catchup tendency going on that's favouring Keiko Fujimori. Recall that last Sunday the gap was 6% and as I said back then, this one is going to be very close.

I'd only add one other thing right now: Be careful what you wish for. The full Datum poll publication can be found right here.

UPDATE: Highly recommended on this subject for Spanish speakers is this new post from highly esteemed Peru Political Scientist Cynthia Sanborn, someone who has forgotten more about this subject than most of the so-called experts out there know. Unmissable.

Cerro Casale: Capex increase, what capex increase?

News out of Barrick (ABX) this week was that the estimated capex needed to build the now infamous Cerro Casale gold mine in the uplands of Chile has moved up to a cool $5.25Bn (with a B). That's quite a move and it's hardly the first change of number seen at the project, either, as witnessed by this chart you humble scribe ahs cobbled togethe after doing about 10 minutes' worth of simple Googling:

Find sources for these numbers here, here, here etc. So anyway, it's now been fixed at $5.25Bn and it's hardly likely to change again from that number, is it? After all, they wouldn't underestimate and then revise upwards later on purpose now, would they?

A Flash update...

...went out to subscribers about half an hour before the open.

Chart of the day is....

...the gold:copper ratio.


This has really been behaving itself for close on two years. Also, unlike silver they're two metals you can take seriously.

Family Members from the Delusional Side

So I get this call yesterday.
It's from Meme.
She's Tammy's mom.
Meme is my husband's cousin.
We talk on the phone.
She reads my blog.
I've never met her.
She's one of my best friends.
She is also delusional.

Meme:  Hey, it's Meme.  I was just in this cute shop?  And they had this bowl thing?  With these fishing lures inside?   And some feathers?  And you should make that.

Me:  What?

Meme:  You get one of those glass bowls?   And you put some fishing lures inside?   And some feathers?  And you can give it to Brian for Christmas.

Me:  Um.....ok.   I have no idea what you're talking about.

Meme:  Oh....Ok, I'll go back and take a picture and send it to you.

Me:  Why don't you make it and then send me a picture of what you've made.

Meme:  No, hang on.  Here's Tammy.

Tammy:  You haven't been blogging.

Me:  I haven't had anything to say.  You haven't posted anything in 3 weeks.

Tammy:  I have nothing to write about.  My life is boring.

Me:  And mine is so exciting?

Tammy:  BUT YOU QUILT!!

Me:  Tammy, I have never quilted in my life.  I have no idea what you're talking about.

Tammy:  Oh, okay, here's Mom.

Meme:  So are you going to make that thing with the fishing lures?

Me:  Okay, sure.  Love ya, bye.

Who are these people????

Holly
xxx-ooo

Thursday, April 28, 2011

Strikers visit the Puerto Rico Islanders

The Fort Lauderdale Strikers will battle the Puerto Rico Islanders tonight Friday, April 29th, 2011 at 8:00 p.m. at Juan Ramón Loubriel Stadium. The Islanders, the reigning Div 2 champions and also the reigning CFU Club Championship winners, are undefeated in the NASL so far this season winning 2 games away and another in their home debut. The Islanders current form will be a test to the Strikers as they come off their first victory this season versus the Atlanta Silverbacks last weekend (2-1).
“The Islanders are playing well right now and it’s going to be a tough challenge,” said Head Coach Daryl Shore. “We are hoping to build from our effort in Atlanta last week and we are looking forward to going down there and coming away with some points.”
The Strikers four-match road trip will also take them to Minnesota and Carolina. The team will return to action at Lockhart Stadium on May 14th against in-state rival FC Tampa Bay.
Read more HERE
 All Strikers home and away matches are available online via webcast at www.strikers.com/live
More NASL games this weekend include:
Saturday
FC Tampa Bay vs Atlanta Silverbacks at Al Lang Stadium 7:00 pm
NSC Minnesota Stars vs Carolina RailHawks at NSC Stadium 8:30 pm
Sunday
FC Edmonton vs Montreal Impact at Foote Field 9:30 pm
All times are Eastern time.

Beach Soccer Worldwide on Miami Beach this weekend!

This weekend come out and see the Beach Soccer Worldwide!
It's Friday, Saturday and Sunday (April 29 to May 1) and includes tons of fun activities for everyone that loves the beautiful game.
The magic of beach soccer comes to Miami´s South Beach with The Beach Soccer Worldwide Miami Cup immediately following the Miami Beach Polo. A temporary stadium set between 20th and 22nd streets will host the thrilling action of this electric sport, and soccer fans will have the chance of enjoying the most spectacular version of ¨the beautiful game¨ on the pristine sands of Miami Beach.
Read more HERE

The game I'm most interested in is the Mexico v. USA game on Friday!

Full schedule:
29/Apr/2011 15:30 Mexico - USA
29/Apr/2011 16:45 Brazil - Spain
30/Apr/2011 15:30 Spain - Mexico
30/Apr/2011 16:45 Brazil - USA
01/May/2011 13:00 USA - Spain
01/May/2011 14:30 CELEBRITY GAME
01/May/2011 16:00 Brazil - Mexico

I hope to see everyone out there!
Note: If you can't make Friday's matchup between USA vs Mexico, it will be on FOX soccer channel!

Clutter

I have been kidnapped and replaced with an insanely productive person.
I've been going through this house,
room by room
closet by closet
drawer by drawer
and weeding out all things unnecessary.
It seems I have quite a bit of unneccessaries around here.

At the same time,
I'm also sifting through my thoughts.
I have unnecessaries in my head too.

Sometimes life just moves along day by day,
moment by moment,
and the clutter accumulates.
I'm taking some time to sift through the garbage in my head.
Work on some issues that have been left unchecked.
Pray about the things that matter.
Let go of the things that don't.
There are so many things in my head that don't matter,
yet I just keep dusting them off and putting them back.

So today, I will finish with my last closet. 
Load up some boxes with all my clutter and
head to GoodWill to drop them off.

I'm going to put my brain clutter at the bottom of one of the boxes.
And then I'm going to walk away.

Holly
xxx-ooo

Wednesday, April 27, 2011

futbol

Still travelling and not much time to post a lot, but this.....this.....


....this is for those that understand futbol. Sublime.

LAUNCH: A Columbia College Chicago Senior-Thesis Fashion Presentation



Come celebrate Columbia College Chicago graduating seniors in a multimedia fashion event featuring runway presentations, film, installations and more! There will be four fashion presentations featuring the work of Columbia's Fashion Design students modeled by Ford, Factor and Agency Galatea models.

The event will take place on Friday, May 13th at the 618 S. Michigan Ave., Stage Two from 1p-5p. Fashion presentations begin every hour on the hour.

The event is free and open to the public. See you there!

Geologists in popular culture

I was sent this link and the excerpt by a geologist friend this morning. We definitely share this, as it's wonderfully wonderful. Enjoy.

While the media rarely represents geologists to the general population, (excluding sound bytes on Discovery Channel volcano specials), there was one recent attempt to integrate geologists into a television program. According to various blog sources, CBS was looking to produce a new reality tv show for 2008, after correctly predicting that the writers' strike would cut down on their ability to create blue-toned dramatic shows centering around corpses. One of their production managers happened to see a documentary on a volcanologist researching lava in Hawaii, and seeing the danger and excitement inherent in people smashing molten hot 'magma' with rock hammers, pitched the idea of a 'geologist survivor-type' show.
In December of 2007, CBS hired a production crew to pull the show together; the scenario was that nine geologists would be placed in the field, where they would vote each other off based on their willingness to do dangerous geologist type feats common to the field; like researching active volcanoes, trilobite wrangling, earthquake surfing, landslides catching, and landing in bush planes on glaciers. Geologists that weren't up to the task would be voted off, and the last remaining "Hard-core geologist" would win a prize.
The production was plagued from the beginning. They were successful in finding nine geologists, 6 males and three females, between 25 and 50 years of age, and they quickly set up the first challenge; researching an active volcano in the Phillipines. The geologists and camera crew set up camp near the bottom of the volcano. The camera crew filmed the nine geologists bonding. The geologists were supplied with alchohol (a common strategy to loosen up the cast on reality TV shows), but the camera crew was surprised to notice that even after drinking gallons of the liquid, the geologists did not change their behavior, and continued talking in an obscure jargonized language about 'bombs', 'hornitos', 'breccia,' and 'lahars,' none of which made for good reality TV.
This trend continued through the entire first challenge; the geologists were seemingly oblivious to the camera, and the only interpersonal drama occurred when the seismologist and structural geologist got into a yelling match over the best recipe for chili. When the camera-crew and geologists went up to do research on the volcano, instead of sticking together, the geologists scattered into the landscape, and the camera-crew found themselves unable to find more than two at a time. Also, after listening to the volcanologist eagerly predict just how soon the volcano would explode, the camera-crew became extremely nervous and returned to the camp.
The crew returned from the first shoot to Los Angeles with almost no footage. To further complicate matters, the editors were unable to make sense of what footage there was, because they had no idea what the hell the geologists were talking about. However, it did appear that initially a few of the scientists seemed to understand the concept of 'voting off' another member. After consulting a nearby university, the crew finally explained to the geologists were basically 'competing for funding from the National Science Foundation.' Unfortunately, the NSF grant analogy didn't go well either, as the geologists quickly pointed out that they didn't have enough time to write a successful research proposal. Finally, the geologists were simply told agree upon some arbitrary criteria that they could use to get rid of someone. After a series of seminars, the geologists decided that whoever had the worst aim with a rock hammer would be told to leave.
The second event, landing in a bush plane in northern Alaska, was a complete failure. None of the geologists were nervous at the idea, which destroyed the drama the crew was hoping for, and worse yet, no-one in the production crew was willing to accompany the geologists to the field site, out of sheer terror. As a result, small cameras were given to two of the geologists to film themselves. When the geologists returned with their cameras, the editors found tapes filled with footage and commentary about mountains and 'gbbxcvxlacial erratics'. Only ten percent of the footage featured humans, and most of that footage was simply the petrologist standing by outcrops for scale.
By the time the production reached Hawaii, most of the camera-crew had quit (because of the steady diet of chili and the dangerous situations) and only five of the geologists were left; not because they had been voted off, but because they had become over-excited by rock formations at various locations and had refused to leave. Moreover, paying for an almost-constant supply of beer, single malt scotch, and transportation for the geologists' luggage' (which contained mostly oversized rock samples padded with unmentionably dilapidated field clothing), had almost exhausted the budget. CBS finally pulled the plug on the project in January of 2008, despite their fear that they might be sued for withdrawing the promise of a prize; however, none of the geologists sued, as they were still under the impression that they needed to publish a research paper to receive the money.

Miami MLS Champions League Final watch party, MLS Miami videos and more...

Our good friend and Miami Ultras member Brian Corey has started a new MLS Meetup group with the intention of catching big MLS games and tonight happens to be one of those days as Real Salt Lake will attempt to be the first MLS team to win a Champions League Final. Come join us at Mickey Byrnes tonight, Wednesday at 10 PM. Please come join us and join this awesome group: http://www.meetup.com/Miami-Major-League-Soccer-MLS-Fan-Club/ .

Talk about MLS... I've never won anything before so when I received an envelope in the mail the other day I was surprised I had won a Major league Soccer T-Shirt. Here is how I won it:

Major League SoccerHey Ed,
Thanks for pledging to watch Tuesday night's opening match of the MLS season. I'm happy to report that you were one of the first 2,000 fans to take the pledge, so your free t-shirt is on its way!
Russ Findlay
Chief Marketing Officer
Major League Soccer
MLS asked the winners to post a picture of yourself with the T-Shirt on so I decided to wear the T-Shirt to a Strikers game and sent it in. MLS put the picture up on their facebook page! Check it out below:
The push for MLS to Miami continues and it is being talked about in Bigsoccer and other forums not to mention blogs and other media.
Following are videos of recent mentions of MLS Miami, both in Spanish. This one is from ESPN's Jorge Ramos y su banda. They even mention the Miami Ultras.


This video is from an MLS game transmitted on Galavision, one of the Univision channels. They constantly mention MLS Miami in their broadcasts.


Do you want to help bring MLS to South Florida? Then join, follow or visit these sites:
Website: http://www.mlsmiamibid.com/
Blog:  http://mlsmiami.blogspot.com/
Twitter: https://twitter.com/mlsmiami
Facebook: http://www.facebook.com/MLSMiamiBid
Email us to: info@mlsmiamibid.com
Don't forget to support your local soccer teams WPS team magicJack and the NASL's Strikers!

Tuesday, April 26, 2011

On The Road


Posting will be light for the next couple of days, because as Jack once wrote, "Live, travel, adventure, bless, and don't be sorry."

Got something to hide, Marin?

Looks like Casey Research is into cyberburial of criticisms. Your list of instructions:

  1. Check out the December 2010 IKN post "Marin Katusa's Modus Operandi and East West Petroleum (EW.v)" on the link.
  2. Go to the photoshow at the bottom of the page.
  3. Mouse over the links provided to the biographies of the scummy, self-serving threesome that make up KBH Capital, namely Marin Katusa, Marc Bustin and Joe Hung. You'll note as you mouse over (without clicking) if you look in the bottom left of your screen that the url's originally provided did indeed go to the correct places.
  4. Now click through the three biog links provided. The links now go to completely separate places in the Casey Research website and feature people that don't even work for the shop any more. The internal links have clearly been swapped by Casey people to send people to the wrong places.

Isn't this fun? It's almost as if Marin and his pally pals have something to hide, isn't it?

Fortuna (FVI.to) quickmath

To work out the Mine Operating Income (MOI) in a ballpark way for the 1q11 quarter just announced in this NR, what you do is;
take the silver production number (and assume produced = sold 1:1)
work out the average London fix spot price for silver in the period (U$31.66/oz)
take the cash cost number and subtract it from the avg price (negative U$4.52, so in effect you're adding)
multiply the production with the revenue per ounce.
The answer is U$15.82m. Then you have other deductions, including smelter, G&A, tax etc. But you should get the picture from comparing that $15.82m number with previous quarters.

LatAm's richest people

America Economia has out today a new list of the 50 richest people in Latin America, including close-ups on the top ten. As for those ten, here's a little chart thrown together by IKN:

And here's the table of the rankings.

nationality ranking name fortune (billions of U$)
Mexico 1 Carlos Slim Helú 63.141
Brazil 2 Eike Batista 31.824
Brazil 3 Jorge Paulo Lemann 19.906
Mexico 4 Germán Larrea Mota Velasco 15.769
Chile 5 Iris Fontbona 13.902
Brazil 6 Dorothea Steinbruch 12.042
Brazil 7 Joseph Safra 11.877
Mexico 8 Alberto Baillères 11.674
Chile 9 Eliodoro Matte 9.649
Colombia 10 Luis Sarmiento 8.925

Carlos Slim is also ranked as the world's richest person, of course. Anyway, lots of good info on all this at the America Economia feature.